And if you want clarification, even the greatest of them all Jack Nicklaus agrees – “golf is the only sport where, if you win 20 percent of the time, you’re the best”. If the best only win 20% of the time then how the hell are the punters supposed to bet on the outcome of the USPGA with any certainty? But then again we’re not sure you are supposed to. That’s the fun of golf. If it was too easy to predict then the 42 year old Ernie Els wouldn’t be able to win a major at odds of 45.00 like he did last month or Darren Clarke wouldn’t be able to do the same even older and at even higher odds the year before. It’s unpredictably is in its beauty, like the colour of John Daly’s trousers.
It used to be a lot easier to predict this particular event – you could narrow the selection down to just the US golfers as pre 2009, 77 of the 87 winners had been Yanks. But you can’t even do that anymore with players from Ireland, South Korea and Germany all triumphing in the last 4 years – the only exception being Keegan Bradley’s win in last year’s event. All you can do is close your eyes and hope – just like the leader on the 18th fairway at Kiawah Island Golf Resort on Sunday.
As per usual, Tiger Woods is the favourite at 9.00 and the bookies are hoping that as per usual he loses, as they start to win back all that money that they lost when he dominated over the past couple of decades. Then come all the pretenders to his crown, with world number 1 Luke Donald, USA’s big hitter Dustin Johnson and golf’s prodigal son Rory McIlroy all joint 2nd favourites at 20.00. Perennial major underachiever Lee Westwood is next at 25.00 whilst Aussie Adam Scott will be looking to improve on his 2nd at the Open last month where he lost his nerve to throw away a 4 shot lead with 4 to play at 30.00.
Only Tiger Woods has retained the title in the open era (and he’s done it twice) but if you fancy that trend to change then last year’s winner Bradley is backable at 40.00, whilst 2009 winner Yang can be backed at a whopping 175.00 whilst 2010 champ Martin Kaymer is not as whopping, but still tasty enough at 80.00. The popular Bubba Watson won the 1st major of the year and is 35.00 to win here, whilst US Open winner Webb Simpson is backable at 40.00 whilst British Open winner Ernie Els is a little bit higher – the ‘big easy’ a big price to some at 50.00.
In addition to our usual markets,are offering a price on the ‘Top Bomber’ – which is a market on the tours big big hitters, with McIlroy favourite at 3.00, closely followed alongside others by Dustin Johnson and Bubba Watson at 3.75 and 5.50 respectively with the already mentioned enigmatic John Daly backable at 40.00. As well as this market are offering markets on whether players make the cut, round bets and some excellent match bets.
“As usual the majority of the money is on Tiger to win at 9.00 and I would have to agree, this course is suited to him and he has to surely break his duck soon” says head of Sportsbook Operations atErik Backlund.
“However, if I had to tip an outsider I would tip Jason Dufner at 30.00 who is more comfortable back on US soil after failing at the British Open or Francesco Molinari at 80.00 who can be very dangerous on his day – especially in the right conditions.”